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CNBC's Inside India newsletter: A disconnected stock market
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
CNBCThis report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. For local investors, Indian stocks would have underperformed the U.S. benchmark by more than 45 percentage points since Buffett's 2008 bet. It appears that India's near 8% GDP growth isn't transforming into stock market returns. But that has also meant significant competition for the incumbents, many of which are listed on the stock market. This year has also been particularly unlucky for Indian stock market investors thanks to the uncertainty added by politics.
Persons: Warren Buffett, it's, Jonathan Pines, Federated Hermes, Rajeev Agrawal, Agrawal, Narendra Modi's, Kevin Carter, Buffett, Carter, Modi, Narendra Modi, Amit Shah, Virat Kohli, Rajat Patidar Organizations: Berkshire, CNBC, BSE, Federated, DoorDarshi Advisors, Narendra Modi's BJP, India, Ecommerce, One97 Communications, Ujjivan Financial, BJP, Russia, Indian, Ukraine, India's Central Bureau of Investigation, Indian Premier League, Wednesday, Royal Challengers Bengaluru Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, BSE India, India, United States, Gandhinagar Lok Sabha, Russia, Mumbai, Punjab Kings
CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Will AI make or break India?
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
But one that could foreshadow India's growth story. Can Teleperformance's stock plunge be the canary in the coal mine for what is likely to happen to India because of AI? But it's likely to be a blip for India's growth trajectory, given the macro forces at play. Besides creating jobs that are less likely to be immediately disrupted by AI, India could also be a net beneficiary of artificial intelligence. The Indian stock market indexes, Sensex and Nifty 50 , are heading for a positive week again — up by 1% and 1.2%, respectively.
Persons: Findlay Kember, Klarna, ChatGPT, K Krithivasan, Krithivasan, Narendra Modi, It's, Shilan Shah, Goldman Sachs, Vinay Dwivedi, Ashok Gulati, Nomura, League Pickleball, Karine Jean, Pierre, Jerome Powell, Raghuram Rajan, Ashish Jain, CNBC's Ayushi Jindal Organizations: AFP, Getty, India's Tata Consultancy Services, Financial Times, TCS, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, University of Oxford, Capital Economics, Investment, Nomura, Qualcomm, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, UPI, India, Commission, Agricultural, United Pickleball Association, Global Sports, PPA, League, Washington Post, White, U.S ., Federal, CNBC, Reserve Bank of India, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Swedish, Paris, India, Chennai, U.S, Europe, China, Singapore, South Korea, Canada, United States
Solar panels stand at the Welspun Energy solar power plant in Neemuch, Madhya Pradesh, India. One sector in particular — electrical power transmission — will see $270 billion in financial benefits, according to Goldman Sachs. While utilities like the Power Grid Corporation of India may be perceived as unsexy, compared to growth stocks like Tesla, India plans to promote renewable energy without the taxpayer spending a single rupee. The country has added about 70 gigawatts of solar power capacity over the past decade without piling on further costs by simply maximizing the grid's usage. Currently, state governments in India levy surcharges and taxes on every unit of carbon-intensive energy transmitted through the grid.
Persons: Vivek Prakash, Elon Musk, Narendra Modi, Goldman Sachs, It's, Vinay Dwivedi, India Anna Dravida, Vinay, Modi, Mohamed Muizzu's, Jamie Dimon, Modi's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Power Grid Corporation of India, Goldman, Companies, Reliance Industries, Adani Enterprises, Tamil Nadu —, Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, CNBC, Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party, Vodafone Idea, Vodafone, West, Economic, of New, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro, we'll Locations: Neemuch, Madhya Pradesh, India, Tamil Nadu, Dravida, New Delhi, Maldives, China, Beijing, West Indies, Pakistan, U.S, of New York
"The stars have aligned for India in terms of demographics, population and market movements. Peeyush Mittal, portfolio manager at Matthews Asia, agrees with the consensus that Modi will win a majority once again — which would be a "non-event" for markets. Conrad Saldanha, portfolio manager at the Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Equity Fund, agrees. Among the companies on his watch are power equipment player Bharat Heavy Electricals and engineering conglomerate Thermax , amid an expected expansion in power generation capacity. According to FactSet data, 24 of the 26 analysts covering the stock have a buy or overweight rating on it.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Neil Bahal, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, Mittal, Conrad Saldanha, Neuberger Berman, Bharat, Neuberger Berman's Saldanha, Saldanha Organizations: South, Bombay Stock Exchange, CNBC Pro, , Matthews Asia, Reserve Bank of, India Fund, Neuberger, Markets Equity Fund, Cummins India, Investor, Bharat Electronics, ICICI, HDFC, IndusInd Bank, Apollo Locations: Hong Kong, India, Reserve Bank of India, Saldanha
After overtaking Hong Kong's stock market in December, India currently has the fourth largest in the world, and is now valued at over $4 trillion. India's market capitalization can easily grow to $40 trillion in the next 20 years, driven by stronger investor confidence and robust economic growth, analysts said. After overtaking Hong Kong in December, the country's market is now ranked the fourth largest in the world, valued at over $4.6 trillion. "India's GDP growth has led to companies increasing their earnings and that is resulting in the stock market performance," said Atul Singh, CEO and managing director of wealth management firm LGT Wealth India. The country's financial year starts on April 1 and ends on March 31.
Persons: Sujan Hajra, Anand Rathi, Manish Chokhani, Atul Singh Organizations: Hong, Enam Holdings, BSE, LGT Wealth, India's Ministry, Statistics Locations: India, Hong Kong
India's central bank held its key interest rate for a seventh straight policy meeting on Friday as growth in the economy is expected to remain robust while inflation stays above the 4% target. The six-member monetary policy committee kept the main lending rate at 6.5%, in line with expectations. While low core inflation provides comfort, the uncertainty on food inflation remains a worry. "While low core inflation provides comfort, the uncertainty on food inflation remains a worry," said Upasna Bhardwaj, chief economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank. "The increasing incidence of climate shocks remains a key upside risk to food prices," the rate setting panel said in its monetary policy statement.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das, Upasna Bhardwaj, Devendra Kumar Pant Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Kotak Mahindra Bank, U.S, NSE, BSE, Research Locations: India
Around 970 million registered voters are expected to cast their votes for India's next prime minister. India will hold the world's largest general elections starting April this year with nearly a billion voters set to exercise their franchise. The seven-stage election process will start from April 19 and last till June 1, 2024, according to the schedule announced by the Election Commission of India. The country has about 970 million registered voters. Since Modi won a second term in the 2019 general election, India has seen the economy strengthen, with Indian equity benchmarks hitting record highs.
Persons: India's, Narendra Modi's, Modi, Rajiv Kumar, Krishnamurthy Subramanian Organizations: India, India's, Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, WealthMills Securities, CNBC, BSE, International Monetary Fund, U.S, White House Locations: India, BJP, Hong Kong, China
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian stocks advanced Monday ahead of policy decisions this week by Japan’s central bank and the Federal Reserve. Markets are awaiting a decision by the Bank of Japan on Tuesday on whether to raise its benchmark interest rate for the first time in 17 years. A report on consumer prices last week showed inflation remains stubborn, ticking up to 3.2% in February from 3.1% in January. Another report on prices at the wholesale level also showed inflation remains hotter than Wall Street expected. The Fed's main rate remains at its highest level since 2001.
Persons: Australia’s Organizations: Japan’s, Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Technology, Software, Adobe, Microsoft, Broadcom, Google, University of Michigan, Fed, Traders, CME Group, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South Korea, India, Bangkok, U.S
Germany’s DAX added 0.1% to 17,959.35 and the FTSE 100 in London edged 0.1% higher to 7,731.73. Markets are awaiting a decision by the Bank of Japan on Tuesday on whether to raise its benchmark interest rate for the first time in 17 years. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong edged 0.1% higher to 16,737.12, and the Shanghai Composite index gained 1% to 3,084.93. Elsewhere, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edged 0.1% higher to 7,675.80, and the Kospi in South Korea advanced 0.7%, to 2,685.84. A report on consumer prices last week showed inflation remains stubborn, ticking up to 3.2% in February from 3.1% in January.
Persons: Germany’s DAX, Australia’s Organizations: Japan’s, Federal Reserve, CAC, Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Honda Motor, Dongfeng Motor, Nasdaq, Software, Adobe, Microsoft, Broadcom, Google, University of Michigan, Fed, Traders, CME Group, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, London, Paris, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, China, South Korea, India, Bangkok, U.S
BANGKOK (AP) — Shares were mostly higher in Asia after Chinese markets reopened Monday from a long Lunar New Year holiday. Markets will be closed Monday in the United States for President's Day. Elsewhere in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 edged 0.1% higher to 7,665.10 and the Kospi in Seoul picked up 1.2%, to 2,680.26. It also discouraged bets that a Fed move to relax conditions on the economy and financial markets could come even in May. Higher rates and yields make borrowing more expensive, slowing the economy and hurting prices for investments.
Persons: Hang Seng, Australia's Organizations: President's, Ocean, China Vanke, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, United States, China, Shanghai, Seoul, India
BANGKOK (AP) — Shares advanced in Asia on Friday, with Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei 225 index trading near a record high, 35 years after it peaked and then plunged with the collapse of Japan's financial bubble. U.S. futures were lower after stocks on Wall Street set a fresh record following some mixed reports on the economy. It has been hovering just below the record high of 38,915.87 that it set on Dec. 29, 1989, right before a plunge in share and property prices ushered in an era of slower, faltering growth. Taiwan's Taiex edged 0.2% lower a day after breaching a record high of 18,644.57 as major market mover TSMC, the world's biggest computer chip maker, surged nearly 8%. On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose 0.6% to 5,029.73, squeaking past its all-time high set last week.
Persons: Australia's, Shack, Wells Organizations: , Nikkei, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, CBRE, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, Hong, Seoul, India, Wall
BANGKOK (AP) — Shares rose in Asia on Thursday after Wall Street stocks recovered much of their sharp losses from a day before. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 climbed 1% to 5,000.62, clawing back more than two-thirds of its loss from Tuesday. It was the single strongest force lifting the S&P 500 index. Most companies in the S&P 500 have been topping analysts’ forecasts for the last three months of 2023. Hopes for stronger growth in 2024 from a solid economy have been another reason the S&P 500 has set 10 records already this year.
Persons: Australia's, Taiwan’s Taiex, India's Sensex, Russell, Lyft, Airbnb Organizations: Wall, Bank of Japan, Nikkei, Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nvidia, Technologies, Akamai Technologies, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, Seoul, Japan, Britain, China, Germany, Hong Kong, Bangkok, Italy, U.S
Overall, the MSCI Asia-Pacific index gained 11.8% for 2023, with the MSCI China index losing around 11%. Those interested in stock-picking rather than passive investing can look to Morgan Stanley's list of Asian stocks it calls "alpha" opportunities for February. India's Tata Consultancy , an IT services and consulting company, which was upgraded by Morgan Stanley to overweight in January, was named as another top idea. Morgan Stanley believes "resilient revenue, strong [earnings before interest and taxes] margins, and positive management commentary will likely sustain valuation premium if execution improves." These are some stocks from the full list of Morgan Stanley's top overweight-rated stocks for February.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, MediaTek, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, Nikkei, BSE, Alpha, Tata Consultancy Locations: Asia, China, India, Japan,
TOKYO (AP) — Shares declined Wednesday in Asia after disappointingly high U.S. inflation data sent stocks sliding on Wall Street and raised prospects that interest rates will remain elevated for longer. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index resumed trading after the Lunar New Year holiday, edging 0.7% higher to 15,861.77 after opening lower. High interest rates hurt all kinds of investments, and they tend to particularly hurt high-growth stocks like technology companies. Stocks of smaller companies fell even more because high rates could hurt them more than bigger rivals by making it more difficult to borrow cash. Yields jumped in the bond market as traders built up expectations for the Fed to keep rates high for longer.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Sensex, Tuesday’s, Russell, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Carl Icahn Organizations: TOKYO, , Nikkei, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Fed, Treasury, Goldman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Wall, JetBlue Airways, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: Asia, Indonesia, Southeast, China, Bangkok, Goldman Sachs
BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mixed on Monday, with most regional markets closed for holidays, while U.S. futures edged lower after the S&P 500 ended last week above 5,000. Thailand's SET was up 0.1% and in Jakarta, the benchmark gained 0.6% ahead of an election to be held on Wednesday. With mainland Chinese markets closed for the week for the Lunar New Year, there was a dearth of market moving news. Photos You Should See View All 21 ImagesOn Friday, the S&P 500 rose 0.6%, finishing above 5,000 for the first time, at 5,026.61. Nvidia, Microsoft and Amazon were the three strongest forces lifting the S&P 500 after each rose by at least 1.6%.
Persons: Australia's, SET, ” Stephen Innes, Wall, they’ve, Cloudflare, it’s, Brent Organizations: Federal Reserve, Management, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Bank of America, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: BANGKOK, India, Jakarta, United States, Japan, U.S
BANGKOK (AP) — Share were mostly higher in Asia on Thursday after the S&P 500 neared the 5,000 level for the first time. Hong Kong’s benchmark fell while Shanghai advanced after China replaced its top stock market regulator. Late Wednesday, China's top stock regulator was replaced by a former chairman of the Shanghai Stock Exchange as part of those efforts. On Thursday, the Shanghai Composite index gained 1.3% to 2,865.90 and the Shenzhen Components index in China's smaller main market also added 1.3%. The S&P 500 gained 0.8%, coming within a fraction of a point of the 5,000 level before ending the day at 4,995.06.
Persons: Wu Qing, Yi Huiman, Hang Seng, Australia's, SET, Snapchat Organizations: Shanghai Stock Exchange, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Communist Party, Nikkei, Ford, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, . New York Community Bancorp, Signature Bank, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, CVS Health, Corp, Vans, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, Shanghai, China, Tokyo, Beijing, Shenzhen, Seoul, India, Wall
BANGKOK (AP) — Shares were mixed Tuesday in Asia, where Chinese stocks surged after a government investment fund said it would step up stock purchases and a report said leader Xi Jinping was set to meet with officials to discuss the markets. The fund periodically steps up buying of shares in big state-owned banks and other companies to counter heavy selling pressure in the Chinese markets. On Monday, benchmarks in Shanghai and the smaller market in Shenzhen bounced between small gains and big losses, while share prices of state-run banks and other big companies rose. The Fed has yanked the federal funds rate to its highest level since 2001 to bring down high inflation. But there's also an upside for stocks from the U.S. economy's blasting through worries about a possible recession.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Xi, Hong, Seng, Australia's, India's, Jerome Powell, there's Organizations: Bloomberg, CSI, Central Huijin Investment, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, Shanghai, Shenzhen, South Korea, Bangkok
BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mixed on Thursday after Wall Street fell to its worst loss since September as the Federal Reserve indicated cuts to interest rates are not imminent. On Wednesday, Big Tech stocks burned by the downside of high expectations triggered a sharp slide. The slide for Big Tech stocks dragged the Nasdaq composite to a market-leading loss of 2.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which has less of an emphasis on tech, fell a more modest 0.8%, to 38,150.30. Three more Big Tech stocks will report results on Thursday: Amazon, Apple and Meta Platforms, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram.
Persons: Dan Ives, ” Tesla, Elon Musk, “ We’re, , Jerome Powell, “ It’s, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Wedbush Securities, , Apple, Facebook, Fed, Wednesday, Treasury, ADP Research, U.S, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent Locations: BANGKOK, U.S, Shanghai, Seoul, Australia, India, Louvre, Delaware
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian stocks were mixed Wednesday as markets awaited a decision on interest rates by the Federal Reserve, while China reported manufacturing contracted in January for a fourth straight month. South Korea’s Kospi shed 0.1% to 2,497.09 after Samsung Electronics reported reported an annual 34% decline in operating profit for the last quarter. Its revenue fell short of Wall Street’s estimates, and it also gave a forecast for full-year revenue in 2024 that was weaker than expected. Treasury yields were also mixed in the bond market following reports that showed the economy remains stronger than expected. The Federal Reserve began its latest policy meeting on interest rates Tuesday, but virtually no one expects it to cut rates this time.
Persons: Seng, India’s Sensex Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Samsung Electronics, PMI, Reserve Bank, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Whirlpool, General Motors, Treasury, Traders, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, China, Shanghai, U.S
BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mixed on Tuesday, with Hong Kong and Shanghai leading declines, ahead of a decision by the Federal Reserve this week on interest rates. But shares in China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group gained 7% as they resumed trading after they also were suspended on Monday. Other property companies led the decline in Hong Kong, where the benchmark Hang Seng index sank 2.4% to 15,694.69. Political Cartoons View All 253 ImagesTechnology companies also retreated, with food delivery company Meituan down 2.8% and e-commerce giant Alibaba falling 1.9%. On Monday, U.S. stocks gained as they kicked off a week where Wall Street’s most influential stocks may show whether the huge expectations built up for them are justified.
Persons: ” Stephen Innes, Australia's, Archer Daniels, Brent Organizations: Federal Reserve, China Evergrande Group, Energy Vehicle Group, Evergrande, Services, Sunac China Holdings, F, Technology, Management, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Microsoft, Traders, Fed, Archer Daniels Midland, Amazon, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: BANGKOK, Hong Kong, Shanghai, China, Guangzhou, Asia, South Korea, U.S, Wall, iRobot
BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mixed on Wednesday after Japan reported its exports jumped nearly 10% in December, though shares in Tokyo declined. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng surged 2% to 15,569.39, helped by gains in technology companies like e-commerce giant Alibaba, which surged 3.8%. The index rose 0.3% to 4,864.60. United Airlines flew 5.3% higher after it also reported stronger profit for the last three months of 2023 than analysts expected. Among Tuesday’s headliners was Verizon Communications, which rose 6.7% after beating analysts’ profit estimates.
Persons: Wang Jiangjun, Hang Seng, ” Gabriel Ng, India's Sensex, Gamble, D.R, Horton, Brent Organizations: Japan, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Capital Economics, Nikkei, Bank of, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Procter, United Airlines, Boeing, Max, Tesla, Intel, Verizon Communications, General Electric, Analysts, Federal Reserve, Treasury, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: BANGKOK, Tokyo, China, Shanghai, Bank of Japan, South Korea, Australia, Bangkok
India is JPMorgan's top pick in Asia, and one of its favorite markets globally, the investment bank's Asian Equity Strategist Mixo Das told CNBC. "It's our number one market at this point," he said, highlighting that the South-Asian nation will continue to benefit enormously as companies increasingly adopt a "China plus one" strategy. Companies that already have a base in India are also expanding production capacity. The country's largest automaker, Maruti Suzuki, announced last week that it would invest $4.2 billion to build a second factory in India. Even Vietnamese electric auto maker VinFast said earlier this month it aims to spend around $2 billion to set up a factory in India.
Persons: Mixo Das, Das, CNBC's, Maruti Suzuki, VinFast Organizations: BSE, Equity, CNBC, Apple, Maruti Locations: Asia, China, Vietnam, India
Indian equity benchmarks the Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex have rallied by more than 6% since the state elections. The Indian stock markets rallied to new highs in 2023 on the back of bullish investors and stronger domestic participation. But analysts warn that the level of optimism seen last year will not be replicated before the general election concludes. Both the Nifty and Sensex hit record highs of 22,081.95 and 73,000, respectively, during Asia's Monday afternoon trading session. In the past five general elections, Indian markets have climbed an average 18% six months prior, 8% three months before, 2% in the months after the results, and 10% half a year later, said Shantanu Bhargava, managing director and head of listed investments at Waterfield Advisors.
Persons: Narendra Modi's, Sensex, Peeyush Mittal, Mittal, Shantanu Bhargava Organizations: BSE Sensex, Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata, BJP, Matthews Asia, CNBC, Waterfield Advisors
The India SENSEX Index, an index of 30 large companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange, is up 18% this year. The iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) is at a new high. You run several international ETFs focused on the internet and ecommerce, including the India Internet & Ecommerce ETF (INQQ). The internet companies are the fastest growing consumer companies. The India Internet economy may grow 500% by 2030.
Persons: Burton Malkiel, Kevin Carter, Todd Sohn, There's Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, Edge, Chemical Bank, Princeton University, EMQQ, India, Ecommerce, Strategas Securities, Microsoft, Apple, India's Tata Group, Bajaj Financial, China ETF, White House Locations: Europe, India, China, United States
India's stock market hit a $4 trillion valuation for the first time on Tuesday, per Bloomberg. It's narrowing the gap with Hong Kong, the world's fourth-largest stock market. AdvertisementThe value of companies listed on India's stock exchanges hit $4 trillion for the first time on Tuesday – narrowing the gap with Hong Kong, Bloomberg reported. Hong Kong is the world's fourth-largest stock market, but is now worth less than $4.7 trillion following an 18% slide in the Hang Seng Index this year. The Indian market was worth less than $1.5 trillion in pandemic-affected 2020, according to Bloomberg, but has since made significant gains.
Persons: , Narendra Modi, Sanjeev, Sharekhan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Reuters, IMF, Apple Locations: Hong Kong, India, China, Japan
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